<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></title><description><![CDATA[Research insights from political scientist Dr Alex Burns]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-h9m!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57998a43-15e2-449d-b68d-4f6333273bac_256x256.png</url><title>Alex Burns</title><link>https://www.alexburns.net</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 20:00:33 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.alexburns.net/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[alexburns@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[alexburns@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[alexburns@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[alexburns@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Artemis II and the Earthly Human Condition]]></title><description><![CDATA[NASA's Artemis II flies by the Moon whilst we all struggle with existential issues on Earth.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/artemis-ii-and-the-earthly-human</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/artemis-ii-and-the-earthly-human</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 10:16:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/9-RtFTpcFzw" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Ronan Farrow and Andrew Marantz have a <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/04/13/sam-altman-may-control-our-future-can-he-be-trusted">bombshell story</a> for <em>The New Yorker</em> on OpenAI&#8217;s Sam Altman. Worth reading with Keach Hagey&#8217;s book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Optimist-Altman-OpenAI-Invent-Future-ebook/dp/B0DSLVRQ2N/">The Optimist</a></em> (New York: W.W. Norton &amp; Co., 2026).</p><p></p><p>B. Livestreaming NASA&#8217;s <em><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yx-bPK0STJk">Artemis II</a> </em>and its Moon flyby.</p><p></p><p>C. Australia&#8217;s most decorated soldier (and Special Forces Operator) Ben Roberts-Smith has <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2026/apr/07/ben-roberts-smith-war-crimes-full-story-podcast">been arrested and charged with five war crimes</a> in Afghanistan.</p><p></p><p>D. <em>Jacobin</em> Magazine on <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/03/work-deskilling-labor-capitalism-technology">managerial power in workplaces</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. President Trump and <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/207274/trump-brought-american-paramilitary-violence-home">paramilitary violence</a> in the United States.</p><p></p><p>F. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/es-114-non-violence-as-a-way-of-life-fall-2018/">Non-Violence As A Way Of Life</a> created by <a href="https://pei.mit.edu/">Dr Lee Perlman</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. <a href="https://slate.com/advice/2026/04/money-advice-estranged-family-will.html">Don&#8217;t be haunted</a> when your family (essentially) cuts you off: it&#8217;s their loss.</p><p></p><p>H. Memes have <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/magazine/ai-apocalypse-brain-rot-memes.html">taken over United States culture</a>. Sadly, those interviews I did with memetics authors in 1998-99 (the tapes were stolen before being transcribed) means that my originally planned book will never come out.</p><p></p><p>I. AI <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-ai-may-reshape-career-pathways-to-better-jobs/">may shape career pathways</a> to better jobs.</p><p></p><p>J. The Heritage Foundation has released its <a href="https://www.heritage.org/military">2026 Index of Military Strength</a>.</p><p></p><p>K. Cato on the <a href="https://shows.acast.com/5e28e0d8963f166217546493/69cd0d691ada36b7adfc5c34">great political realignment</a> that is unfolding.</p><p></p><p>L. AUKUS Pillar 2 relevant: <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/quantums-industrial-moment">quantum&#8217;s industrial moment</a>.</p><p></p><p>M. Tehran&#8217;s strategic calculus.</p><div id="youtube2-9-RtFTpcFzw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;9-RtFTpcFzw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/9-RtFTpcFzw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. 10 hours of NASA&#8217;s <em>Artemis II</em> and its Moon flyby.</p><div id="youtube2-z-j1uxBmis0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;z-j1uxBmis0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/z-j1uxBmis0?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>O. <a href="https://adamtooze.com/">Adam Tooze</a> talks with <a href="https://davidharvey.org/">David Harvey</a> for two hours about <a href="https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/marx/">Karl Marx</a> (<em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Capital-Critique-Political-Economy-1-ebook/dp/B0CZGMCVWF/">Capital</a></em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Capital-Critique-Political-Economy-1-ebook/dp/B0CZGMCVWF/"> volume 1</a>) and Harvey&#8217;s new book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Story-Capital-Everyone-Should-About-ebook/dp/B0GQSS37LG/">The Story of Capital</a></em> (New York: Verso, 2026).</p><div id="youtube2-gJNhbXtlJrw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;gJNhbXtlJrw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/gJNhbXtlJrw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Dalek Master Plan, Rediscovered]]></title><description><![CDATA[You might have plans for your life - and the Daleks have their own plans for yours.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-dalek-master-plan-rediscovered</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-dalek-master-plan-rediscovered</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Apr 2026 10:50:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/S6T9enMY8vw" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. FT on how an <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/74f073d3-450f-4038-b13f-9a53c984251c">energy crisis unfolds</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Bloomberg on how the second Trump administration has <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2026-04-02/big-take-trump-s-iran-address-fails-to-ease-markets-podcast">alienated US financial markets</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. Five artists who <a href="https://dangerousminds.net/pop-culture/five-artists-who-grew-up-in-cults/">grew up in cults / new religious movements</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. Former Attorney General Pam Bondi has <a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/04/trump-attorney-general-pam-bondi-fired-memes.html">been effectively fired by memes</a>. </p><p></p><p>E. <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2026/apr/03/two-lost-1965-doctor-who-episodes-released-after-being-found-in-private-collection">Two lost episodes</a> from the Doctor Who story <em>The Dalek Master Plan</em> (1965) are now released on the BBC (you may need a VPN to view BBC iPlayer).</p><p></p><p>F. Kanye West has an <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/04/13/kanye-west-music-review-bully">AI era record</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. Geoengineering is <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/2026/04/stardust-solar-radiation-management/686664/">apparently now a thing</a>. Neal Stephenson (<a href="https://nealstephenson.substack.com/">Substack</a>) wrote about this in his book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Termination-Shock-Neal-Stephenson-ebook/dp/B0941WBTYL/">Termination Shock</a></em> (New York: HarperCollins, 2021).</p><p></p><p>H. What happens <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/heres-what-can-happen-when-the-us-bombs-irans-nuclear-sites/">when a nuclear site is hit</a>?</p><p></p><p>I. Sovereignty &amp; Security Forum 2026.</p><div id="youtube2-S6T9enMY8vw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;S6T9enMY8vw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/S6T9enMY8vw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>J. The politics of oil have fundamentally changed.</p><div id="youtube2-uV1I5uJcN7w" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;uV1I5uJcN7w&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/uV1I5uJcN7w?start=&amp;rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>K. Mapping History: a lecture by<a href="https://www.martingilbert.com/"> Sir Martin Gilbert</a>.</p><div id="youtube2-GFoJ9RMYKcg" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;GFoJ9RMYKcg&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/GFoJ9RMYKcg?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Nuclear Weapons, the Iran War, and Economic Growth]]></title><description><![CDATA[Historians and Nobel laureate Economists on current events that are "risk on".]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/nuclear-weapons-the-iran-war-and</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/nuclear-weapons-the-iran-war-and</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2026 10:53:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-h9m!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57998a43-15e2-449d-b68d-4f6333273bac_256x256.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. <a href="https://history.stanford.edu/people/david-holloway">David Holloway</a> has recently written the magisterial <em><a href="https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300229448/nuclear-weapons/">Nuclear Weapons: An International History</a></em> (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2026). Holloway&#8217;s extensive archival and primary source based research <a href="https://history.stanford.edu/people/david-holloway">promises to rewrite</a> the prehistory and the first / second generation of strategic culture theory-building.</p><p></p><p>B. What happens when a <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/culture/the-lede/what-happens-when-a-whale-is-born">whale is born?</a></p><p></p><p>C. A Federal Judge <a href="https://newrepublic.com/post/208434/judge-saves-npr-pbs-blocks-trump-order-funding">has just saved</a> NPR and PBS from the second Trump administration.</p><p></p><p>D. Economist and Nobel laureate <a href="https://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/">Paul Krugman</a> on the <a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/03/iran-war-oil-futures-prices-insider-trading.html">Iran War</a>. He also has a <a href="https://paulkrugman.substack.com/">Substack</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/14-452-economic-growth-fall-2016/">Economic Growth</a> by Nobel laureate <a href="https://economics.mit.edu/people/faculty/daron-acemoglu">Dean Acemoglu</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[War Arbitrageurs and the Quest for Superintelligence]]></title><description><![CDATA[Crisis alpha is creating profit opportunities for war arbitrageurs whilst the quest for (AI) Superintelligence continues to accelerate the (technology based) efficient frontier.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/war-arbitrageurs-and-the-quest-for</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/war-arbitrageurs-and-the-quest-for</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2026 08:36:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/YF3e2Jhse4Q" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. The US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/744ea8dc-6d93-4fe9-a5e3-36de4f5d06db?syn-25a6b1a6=1">attempted to use </a>the broker Morgan Stanley to buy BlackRock&#8217;s Defense Industrials Active ETF (IDEF) before the Iran War. Hegseth has denied that the portfolio acquisition ever took place.  (<em>The Atlantic</em> <em>Monthly</em>&#8217;s Tom Nichols would describe this as &#8220;<a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/2026/03/pete-hegseth-vice-signaling/686620/">vice signaling</a>.&#8221;) ETFs are designed for sector / thematic / diversification plays (and smart beta) rather than the single stocks (equities options) or pairs trades that benefit from event catalysts and volatility. The practitioner literature on ETFs grew after the Great Recession or Global Financial Crisis in 2008. ETFs helped to drive the widespread adoption of algorithmic trading. The leading academic / practitioner work is <a href="https://www.montclair.edu/profilepages/view_profile.php?username=meziania">Professor A. Seddik Meziani</a>&#8217;s <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Exchange-Traded-Funds-Investment-Practices-Approaches-ebook/dp/B01IJXFJLE/">Exchange-Traded Funds: Investment Practices and Tactical Approaches</a> </em>(London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2016). Here is the BBC&#8217;s Adam Curtis on BlackRock&#8217;s founder Larry Fink and his ALADDIN portfolio management system.</p><div id="youtube2-YF3e2Jhse4Q" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;YF3e2Jhse4Q&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/YF3e2Jhse4Q?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>B. Oil traders are <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-31/iran-war-economic-pressure-builds-on-global-stock-markets/106512344">arbitraging the second Trump administration</a> on Iran War related geopolitical risk. This is no surprise whatsoever for readers of <a href="https://leahmcgrathgoodman.com/bio/">Leah McGrath Goodman</a>&#8217;s classic <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Asylum-Renegades-Hijacked-Worlds-Market-ebook/dp/B004GB1XC8/">The Asylum: Inside the Rise and Ruin of the Global Oil Market</a></em> (New York: HarperCollins, 2011).</p><p></p><p>C. <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/03/muskism-futurism-fordism-sovereignty-technology">Muskism</a> is the new reactionary modernist ideology that <a href="https://www.quinnslobodian.com/">Quinn Slobodian</a> and <a href="https://www.bentarnoff.com/">Ben Tarnoff</a> have detailed in their new book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Muskism-Guide-Perplexed-Quinn-Slobodian-ebook/dp/B0FLMJN1JZ/">Muskism: A Guide for the Perplexed</a></em> (New York: Penguin, 2026).</p><p></p><p>D. The game theorist, political economist, author, and politician <a href="https://www.yanisvaroufakis.eu/">Yanis Varoufakis</a> on <a href="https://znetwork.org/znetarticle/yanis-varoufakis-knows-whos-going-to-lose-the-war-in-iran/">who will likely win the Iran War</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. What <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swKnQp7lJpo">tail risk inflation hedging</a> is.</p><p></p><p>F. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/14-44-energy-economics-spring-2007/">Energy Economics</a> by <a href="https://economics.mit.edu/people/faculty/paul-l-joskow">Professor Paul Joskow</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. <a href="https://www.cfr.org/experts/sebastian-mallaby">Sebastian Mallaby (Council on Foreign Relations)</a> has a new book out today called <em><a href="https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/752231/the-infinity-machine-by-sebastian-mallaby/">The Infinity Machine: Demis Hassabis, DeepMind and the Quest for Superintelligence</a></em> (New York: Penguin, 2026) available now on <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Infinity-Machine-Hassabis-DeepMind-Superintelligence-ebook/dp/B0FS5D9F8J/">Amazon Kindle</a> and <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Infinity-Machine-Hassabis-DeepMind-Superintelligence/dp/B0FXMZPGTY/">Audible</a>. All of Mallaby&#8217;s books are highly influential in finance, investment, and public policy circles - and are very highly recommended as long-form creative non-fiction and journalism.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Talking Your Book]]></title><description><![CDATA[Exemplars on their "lessons learned" / "after action reviews" and contemporary global disruptions that are "risk on" or "at play".]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/talking-your-book</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/talking-your-book</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 11:13:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/quc24Ot9Qwg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Geopolitical risk arbitrageurs / speculators <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/mar/30/trump-bombs-betting-markets-speculators">do volatility farming on prediction markets</a> like Kalshi and Polymarket. Many are<a href="https://manhattan.institute/article/why-are-young-people-taking-so-many-unwise-financial-risks"> young people taking significant financial risks</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Why Australian universities rely on external consultants: <em><a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-30/campus-chaos/106513874">4 Corners</a></em><a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-30/campus-chaos/106513874"> investigative journalism episode</a> (Australia) and YouTube hosted version (for international viewers).</p><div id="youtube2-quc24Ot9Qwg" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;quc24Ot9Qwg&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/quc24Ot9Qwg?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>C. How to <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-30/how-to-ask-employer-about-working-from-home-flexible-work/106504150">discuss additional work-from-home days</a> with your employer.</p><p></p><p>D. A new book by <a href="https://www.nato.int/en/about-us/organization/who-we-are/nato-deputy-secretaries-general/rose-gottemoeller">Rose Gottemoeller</a> on <a href="https://www.sup.org/books/politics/security-through-cooperation">US-Russia space geopolitics / exopolitics after 1991</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. The &#8220;international rules-based order&#8221; is <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/world/the-rules-based-order-is-gone/">increasingly viewed as being dead</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Has Russia <a href="https://harpers.org/archive/2026/04/conflict-resolution-olivier-kempf-kyiv-ukraine-russia">won the Russia-Ukraine War?</a></p><p></p><p>G. <a href="https://econ.berkeley.edu/profile/barry-eichengreen">Barry Eichengreen</a> &#8220;<a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Money-Beyond-Borders-Currencies-Croesus-ebook/dp/B0FRCNYNBK/">talks his book</a>&#8221; at the <a href="https://quincyinst.org/events/money-beyond-borders-global-currencies-from-croesus-to-crypto/">Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft on 9th April 2026</a>.</p><p></p><p>H. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/17-s950-social-science-and-the-iraq-and-syrian-wars-fall-2016/">Social Science and the Iraq and Syrian Wars</a> created by <a href="https://polisci.mit.edu/people/roger-petersen">Professor Roger Peterson</a>.</p><p></p><p>I. Wargaming the Pacific (<a href="https://www.usnwc.edu/">United States Naval College</a> and the <a href="https://www.hoover.org/">Hoover Institution</a>).</p><div id="youtube2-AoxrPCqd0Jc" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;AoxrPCqd0Jc&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/AoxrPCqd0Jc?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>J. <a href="https://www.forbes.com/profile/lloyd-blankfein/">Lloyd Blankfein</a> &#8220;<a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Streetwise-Lessons-Life-Goldman-Sachs-ebook/dp/B0F3MHP79J/">talks his book</a>&#8221; with <a href="https://www.andrewrosssorkin.com/andrew-ross-sorkin-bio">Anrew Ross Sorkin</a> at the 92nd St Y, New York.</p><div id="youtube2-K1g_eoTvDIY" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;K1g_eoTvDIY&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/K1g_eoTvDIY?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>K. A talk by <a href="https://www.kcl.ac.uk/people/professor-sir-lawrence-freedman">Sir Lawrence Freedman</a> at Google on his influential book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Strategy-History-Sir-Lawrence-Freedman-ebook/dp/B00F3D4IVG/">Strategy: A History</a> </em>(New York: Oxford University Press, 2013).</p><div id="youtube2--R7kjNT8hkI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;-R7kjNT8hkI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/-R7kjNT8hkI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>L. The trailer for the new film <em>Palestine &#8216;36</em> (2026).</p><div id="youtube2-Q1PWKE_9YtU" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;Q1PWKE_9YtU&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/Q1PWKE_9YtU?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>M. Rush returns with its new lineup at Canada&#8217;s Juno Awards to play its very first ever song, Finding My Way.</p><div id="youtube2-kVw-4L59Tw0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;kVw-4L59Tw0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/kVw-4L59Tw0?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. The SXSW 2026 panel The Knowledge Paradox: When Does Sharing Become Theft?</p><div id="youtube2-wh9wRGB6Om8" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;wh9wRGB6Om8&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/wh9wRGB6Om8?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>O. An hour of Iranian jazz.</p><div id="youtube2-aaKrmYwaOkk" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;aaKrmYwaOkk&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/aaKrmYwaOkk?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>P. <a href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLh9mgdi4rNezGmUHVe4FAMHgSLXSqHV1n">The Nature of Genius</a> - a free course at <a href="https://oyc.yale.edu/">Open Yale Courses</a> created by <a href="https://yalemusic.yale.edu/people/craig-wright">Professor Emeritus Craig M. Wright</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The (Present) Iran War, Disruption, and Deeptime]]></title><description><![CDATA[How the second Trump administration's declinist narratives are expediting via the Iran War the geoeconomic shift to a (multipolar) postliberal future (world order).]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-present-iran-war-disruption-and</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-present-iran-war-disruption-and</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 12:15:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/qIcNigOu2H4" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. The <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/video/2026/mar/20/pauline-hanson-one-nation-changing-politics-australia-full-story-podcast">re-emergence of Pauline Hanson&#8217;s One Nation</a> in Australian politics.</p><p></p><p>B. Has Russia <a href="https://harpers.org/archive/2026/04/conflict-resolution-olivier-kempf-kyiv-ukraine-russia">won the Russo-Ukrainian War?</a></p><p></p><p>C. Jeffrey Epstein and the <a href="https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/gates-foundation-epstein-files">Gates Foundation</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. On Vilfredo Pareto&#8217;s <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/03/pareto-sociology-ruling-class-decline">sociology of feared elite decline</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Wartime versus <a href="https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/03/20/wartime-vs-deep-time/">Deeptime</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. The US and China are <a href="https://quincyinst.org/research/competition-for-us-china-talent-advantage-and-the-us-national-interest/">fighting over talent</a>. It&#8217;s actually in Singapore, enjoying a hawker-style delicious lunch.</p><p></p><p>G. Why Iran&#8217;s <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-irans-disruption-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-matters/">disruption of the Strait of Hormuz</a> matters. &#8220;Move fast and break things&#8221;?</p><p></p><p>H. How <a href="https://www.aei.org/research-products/working-paper/investing-outside-the-box-fluctuating-styles-of-actively-managed-funds/">actively managed funds work</a>. Also called a research product that promotes your think tank&#8217;s philanthropic funders from finance.</p><p></p><p>I. Data is now the <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/data-now-front-line-warfare">frontline of warfare</a>.</p><p></p><p>J. Setting the rules for <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/setting-the-rules-for-ai-warfare">AI warfare</a>.</p><p></p><p>K. Iran&#8217;s <a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2026/03/irans-escalation-strategy-wont-work.html">escalation strategy won&#8217;t work</a>, RAND claims. Tehran (obviously) didn&#8217;t hire RAND to run Herman Kahn scenarios and stress tests.</p><p></p><p>L. A recent thrift store purchase: <a href="https://www.jamesrickardsproject.com/about/">James Rickards</a>&#8217; <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/New-Case-Gold-James-Rickards-ebook/dp/B01AXE98PK/">The New Case for Gold</a></em> (London: Penguin House UK, 2016) that foresaw today&#8217;s &#8220;crisis alpha&#8221;, &#8220;safe haven&#8221; and &#8220;de-risk behavioural herding&#8221; gold bugs.</p><p></p><p>M. Tyler Cowen and Harvey Mansfield talk about Niccolo Machiavelli&#8217;s realpolitik and Leo Strauss&#8217;s elitism.</p><div id="youtube2-qIcNigOu2H4" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;qIcNigOu2H4&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/qIcNigOu2H4?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. The initial post Cold War period (called the interregnum) was meant to bring us the &#8220;peace dividend.&#8221; The Council on Foreign Relations explores why this actually never happened.</p><div id="youtube2-R--6fI3Nsgw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;R--6fI3Nsgw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/R--6fI3Nsgw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>CFR also considers the Iran War&#8217;s ripple effects in geoeconomics.</p><div id="youtube2-lBd4YTJmGvI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;lBd4YTJmGvI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/lBd4YTJmGvI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>O. <a href="https://www.hoover.org/profiles/stephen-kotkin">Stephen Kotkin (Hoover Institution)</a> considers how strong Iran&#8217;s decision elite is.</p><div id="youtube2-wdUhGQhNBWk" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;wdUhGQhNBWk&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/wdUhGQhNBWk?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[ISA Virtual Conference 2026 Proposals]]></title><description><![CDATA[Two proposals under consideration for the International Studies Association's Virtual Conference in June 2026.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/isa-virtual-conference-2026-proposals</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/isa-virtual-conference-2026-proposals</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 22:01:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-h9m!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57998a43-15e2-449d-b68d-4f6333273bac_256x256.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="https://www.isanet.org/">International Studies Association</a> is holding its latest <a href="https://www.isanet.org/Conferences/Virtual-2026/">Virtual Conference</a> in June 2026. This is particularly helpful for Global South scholars and for those who do not have access to institutional support for travel funding.</p><p></p><p>My two submitted proposals which are both under consideration are below.</p><p></p><p><strong>Old Myths, Nearly Dead: Why The Rules-Based International Order Is No Longer Credible</strong></p><p>In early 2026 the second Trump administration of the United States launched Special Operations Forces in Venezuela; began an Iran war that triggered volatility in energy / oil markets; and released its <a href="https://media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/2003864773/-1/-1/0/2026-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY.PDF">National Defense Strategy</a>. Russia continued its conventional war with Ukraine. China flexed its growing sphere of influence in the Indo-Pacific&#8212;and, together with Russia and the United States&#8212;underpinned continued shifts in nuclear tripolarity.</p><p>These catalyst events all highlight that the rules-based international order touted by middle powers like Australia is an aspirational myth that is no longer credible. Yet it is also time to move beyond outdated classicist historical narratives such as frequent reliance on analogical reasoning with <a href="https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/realism-intl-relations/">Thucydides</a>, the <a href="https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/stoicism/">Stoics</a>, and <a href="https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/augustine/">Augustine</a> (in <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Political-Philosophy-Short-Introduction-Introductions-ebook/dp/B000SFJ11G/">political philosophy</a>). Economic statecraft, denial strategies, and weaponised interdependence as prioritised policy instruments now requires more contemporary frameworks, found in the study of coercion, special operations instruments (beyond direct action / surgical strikes), space-based strategy, burden-sharing in strategic alliances like the <a href="https://www.war.gov/Spotlights/AUKUS/">AUKUS security compact</a>, and geopolitical risk arbitrage.</p><p>Disorder, disruption and volatility are often fetishised: this paper seeks to go beyond outdated paradigms.</p><p></p><p><strong>Strategic PSYOP for Advancing Impellance-Based Crisis De-Escalation and Facilitating Positive Peace</strong></p><p>On 2nd December 2025, the <a href="https://www.war.gov/About/Secretary-of-War/">United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth</a> signalled in a <a href="https://media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/08/2003839440/-1/-1/0/CHANGING-THE-TERM-MILITARY-INFORMATION-SUPPORT-OPERATIONS-BACK-TO-PSYCHOLOGICAL-OPERATIONS.PDF">widely circulated memorandum for Senior Pentagon Leadership</a> that he would revert to the prior designation Psychological Operations (PSYOP) from the prior Obama administration&#8217;s shift to Military Information Support Operations (MISO). Secretary of War Hegseth signalled this transformation of <a href="https://goviksrealm.net/downloads/arma3/Army%20Field%20Manuals/FM%203-05.30%20-%20Psychological%20Operations.pdf">PSYOP doctrine</a>, campaigns, and instruments prior to recent operations in Venezuela and Iran, and public controversy over the <a href="https://www.war.gov/Pentagon-Tours/">Pentagon</a>, <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/">Anthropic</a>, and <a href="https://www.palantir.com/">Palantir Technologies</a>.</p><p>Informed by decade-long doctrinal reform debates in what is now the <a href="https://www.swcs.mil/Schools/PSYWAR-School/">PSYWAR School at Fort Liberty (formerly Fort Bragg)</a>, this paper establishes an agenda-setting initiative that restores PSYOP to its strategic level over MISO&#8217;s far more limited tactical emphasis. Integral to this strategic level PSYOP re-emphasises on indirect, diachronic, longitudinal, non-kinetic, shaping forms of diplomatic, information, military and economic (DIME) instruments for the title&#8217;s identified two core strategic objectives. I go paradigmatically beyond <a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21410192-from-psyop-to-mindwar-the-psychology-of-victory/">Vallely/Aquino (1980)</a> and <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/MindWar-Michael-Aquino-ebook/dp/B01IABGXDI/">Aquino (2013, 2016)</a> oriented MindWar frameworks, to integrate strategic doctrinal insights from <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sun_Tzu">Sun Tzu</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B._H._Liddell_Hart">Sir Basil Henry Liddell Hart</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Boyd_(military_strategist)">John Boyd</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_Sharp">Gene Sharp</a>, <a href="https://johangaltung.life/">Johan Galtung</a>, <a href="https://www.metafuture.org/">Sohail Inayatullah</a>, and <a href="https://www.poetryfoundation.org/people/william-t-vollmann">William T. Vollmann</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Deepfake War Is Here]]></title><description><![CDATA[How Clausewitz's fog of war has gone hyperreal, as the actual, real Iran war continues.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/deepfake-war-is-here</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/deepfake-war-is-here</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 09 Mar 2026 06:49:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/-liSFrFT46s" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Iran&#8217;s <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-09/who-is-irans-new-supreme-leader-mojtaba-khamenei-/106431406">new Supreme Leader</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. On the Department of War&#8217;s <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/08/pete-hegseth-pentagon-trump-iran">Pete Hegseth</a> (political psychology as attack PR).</p><p></p><p>C. China has <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/annals-of-education/how-china-learned-to-love-the-classics">closely studied Western classics</a> (to better understand its foundational strategic thought, and to differentiate this from modernity).</p><p></p><p>D. Catalyst events (war) + prediction markets <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/03/polymarket-insider-trading-going-get-people-killed/686283/">now facilitate insider trading</a>: a new threat to national security.</p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is an <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/17-41-introduction-to-international-relations-spring-2023/">Introduction to International Relations</a>, created by <a href="https://polisci.mit.edu/people/richard-nielsen">Professor Richard Nielsen</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. The <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/society/grok-deepfake-danger/">deep harms of deepfakes</a>, redux.</p><p></p><p>G. How to <a href="https://slate.com/technology/2026/03/books-goodreads-kindle-e-reader-gen-z.html">read 100 books</a> a year.</p><p></p><p>H. Palantir and the <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/03/palantir-bossware-workforce-surveillance-tech">US Federal Government workforce</a>. What Palantir&#8217;s <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLD5I16XkOo&amp;t=1s">ontology is.</a></p><p></p><p>I. The heterodox economist <a href="https://michael-hudson.com/">Michael Hudson</a> on <a href="https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/03/09/thinking-about-the-unthinkable-irans-grand-plan-to-end-u-s-presence-in-the-middle-east/">Iran&#8217;s grand strategy in the Middle East</a>.</p><p></p><p>J. An <a href="https://pitchfork.com/reviews/albums/madonna-erotica/">album</a> that was part of my undergraduate years.</p><p></p><p>K. <a href="https://bkeating.physics.ucsd.edu/">Dr Brian Keating</a> (Peterson Academy) on cosmology.</p><div id="youtube2--liSFrFT46s" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;-liSFrFT46s&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/-liSFrFT46s?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>L. Disinformation alumnus and <a href="https://magick.me/">Magick.me</a> founder <a href="https://jasonlouv.com/">Jason Louv</a> on strategic communications and perception management.</p><div id="youtube2-TESPk8h1blM" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;TESPk8h1blM&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/TESPk8h1blM?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>M. I listened to this on the weekend: <a href="https://history.columbia.edu/person/adam-tooze/">Adam Tooze</a> on the War in Iran.</p><div id="youtube2-ndpkaX1kjQ8" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;ndpkaX1kjQ8&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/ndpkaX1kjQ8?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. Netflix has a new documentary on the Red Hot Chili Peppers&#8217; early years, out on 20th March 2026.</p><div id="youtube2-Exs7-tOaQQY" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;Exs7-tOaQQY&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/Exs7-tOaQQY?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>O. The <a href="https://www.santafe.edu/">Santa Fe Institute</a> on the origins and future of economic inequality.</p><div id="youtube2-rLEfT7q9ecA" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;rLEfT7q9ecA&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/rLEfT7q9ecA?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>P. A 90-minute Bloomberg special about the Iran war oil shock.</p><div id="youtube2-teCd09oB6cE" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;teCd09oB6cE&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/teCd09oB6cE?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>Q. James Baldwin, Martin Luther King and Malcolm X interviewed in 1963.</p><div id="youtube2-TNQGhsPb7U4" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;TNQGhsPb7U4&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/TNQGhsPb7U4?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>R. Some useful <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@julianspencer-churchill219">strategic studies lectures</a> from <a href="https://www.concordia.ca/faculty/julian-schofield.html">Dr Julian Spencer-Churchill</a> (Concordia University).</p><p></p><p>S. A talk by the late United Kingdom cultural critic <a href="http://k-punk.abstractdynamics.org/">Mark Fisher</a>: &#8220;All this is temporary.&#8221;</p><div id="youtube2-deZgzw0YHQI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;deZgzw0YHQI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/deZgzw0YHQI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Geopolitical Risk Hotspots]]></title><description><![CDATA[How Operation Epic Fury is a signal of broader shifts underway in the emerging postliberal, multipolar world.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/geopolitical-risk-hotspots</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/geopolitical-risk-hotspots</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 12:25:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/CQg0-dukL7c" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. RAND on understanding <a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA3715-1.html">China&#8217;s national security decision-making</a>. Meanwhile, the Heritage Foundation has developed <a href="https://www.heritage.org/tidalwave">TIDALWAVE</a> an AI model of a US-China war.</p><p></p><p>B. The Center for a New American Security contended a month ago that the United States <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/cnas-insights-america-isnt-ready-for-a-drone-war">was not ready for a drone war</a>. Is Operation Epic Fury a test run?</p><p></p><p>C. The <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/commercialisation-space-surveillance">commercialisation of space surveillance</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. Australia and <a href="https://www.aspi.org.au/report/disruption-and-opportunity-australia-and-critical-minerals-in-a-changing-global-order/">critical minerals</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Does President Donald Trump <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/has-trump-thought-through-the-endgame-in-iran">have an endgame for Iran</a>? (Regime change is the ends or strategic objective; will the means deployed be sufficient?) This question crosses ideological lines - <em>Jacobin</em>&#8217;s Arron Reza Merat <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/02/iran-war-imperialism-us-israel">also asks it</a>. A second order effect of Operation Epic Fury is that leftist advocates are <a href="https://www.thenation.com/podcast/archive/ttom-030226/">framing the second Trump administration as imperial</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. The MAGA (movement) plot to <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/206942/alberta-separatist-movement-maga-trump">take down Canada</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. On Anthropic as a <a href="https://reason.com/2026/02/28/anthropic-labeled-a-supply-chain-risk-banned-from-federal-government-contracts/">United States supply chain risk</a>. Aspects of this stratagem were addressed in two<a href="https://www.youtube.com/JamesRickardsProject/videos"> James Rickards</a> books on geopolitical risk: <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Sold-Out-Severed-Inflation-Consumer/dp/0241584590/">Sold Out! How Severed Supply &amp; Surging Inflation Will End Consumer Choice</a></em> (London: Penguin Business UK, 2022) and <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Moneygpt-AI-Threat-Global-Economy/dp/0593718631/">MoneyGPT: AI and the Threat to the Global Economy</a></em> (New York: Portfolio, 2024). The past week&#8217;s events are not the strategic surprise that the pro-Anthropic / Silicon Valley / disruptive innovation school of thought has portrayed it as. Chris Miller <a href="https://www.aei.org/foreign-and-defense-policy/reciprocity-and-security-a-strategy-for-trusted-technology-supply-chains/">also offers a view</a> - his book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Chip-War-Worlds-Critical-Technology/dp/1398504122">Chip War: The Fight for the World&#8217;s Most Critical Technology</a></em> (New York: Scribner, 2022) has become a bestseller and probably the most recent influential book on the intersection of geopolitical risk, disruptive innovation, and critical technology.</p><p></p><p>H. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/15-912-technology-strategy-fall-2008/">Technology Strategy</a>, created by <a href="https://www.mit.edu/~jasond/">Professor Jason Davis</a>.</p><p></p><p>I. Bloomberg on <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2026-02-25/zero-societal-collapse-and-how-to-avoid-it-podcast?srnd=homepage-asia">societal collapse and how to avoid it</a>.</p><p></p><p>J. <em>Financial Times</em> asks: <a href="https://www.ft.com/video/59b47c06-525c-47c6-b981-d05ab1c28c7f">can India quit coal?</a></p><p></p><p>K. The Hoover Institution has released the <a href="https://www.hoover.org/news/2026-edition-stanford-emerging-technology-review-offers-policymakers-and-business-leaders-new">2026 edition of the Stanford Emerging Technology Review</a>.</p><p></p><p>L. The paperback edition of <a href="https://www.kslcapital.com/our-team/ted-seides">Ted Seides</a>&#8217; influential book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/You-Want-Start-Hedge-Fund/dp/1394377916">So You Want To Start A Hedge Fund? Lessons for Managers and Allocators</a></em> (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley &amp; Sons, 2026) is coming out on 8th March 2026 in Australia.</p><p></p><p>M. <a href="https://www.buckingham.ac.uk/directory/professor-eric-kaufmann/">Professor Eric Kaufmann</a> offers the first class of his <em>Intro to Political Science</em> for the <a href="https://petersonacademy.com/">Peterson Academy</a>.</p><div id="youtube2-CQg0-dukL7c" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;CQg0-dukL7c&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/CQg0-dukL7c?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. <a href="https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/stephen-walt">Professor Stephen Walt</a> on America as the predatory hegemon.</p><div id="youtube2-tNV-MQUK16E" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;tNV-MQUK16E&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/tNV-MQUK16E?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>O. <a href="https://www.yaschamounk.com/">Yascha Mounk</a> and <a href="https://fukuyama.people.stanford.edu/">Francis Fukuyama</a> discuss the first 24 hours of Operation Epic Fury and the implications for Iran.</p><div id="youtube2-8DIJrOaHvG4" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;8DIJrOaHvG4&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/8DIJrOaHvG4?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[On Operation Epic Fury]]></title><description><![CDATA[The United States and Israel strategically bomb Iran.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/on-operation-epic-fury</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/on-operation-epic-fury</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 09:31:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/kfxWyGsBLek" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. How the Central Intelligence Agency <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/01/us/politics/cia-israel-ayatollah-compound.html">helped locate</a> the late Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khomeini for him to be <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-01/us-israel-launches-airstrikes-in-iran-live-blog/106401380">killed</a> (Khomeini&#8217;s <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/01/ayatollah-ali-khameini-obituary">strategic culture</a>). What <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/the-new-yorker-radio-hour/what-could-go-wrong-or-right-in-a-war-with-iran">could go wrong</a>. What <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/donald-trump-launches-a-war-of-epic-fury-on-iran">might occur next</a>. Why the US strike on Iran <a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/02/iran-trump-war-analysis-what-happens-next.html">is different</a>. Iran&#8217;s<a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/operation-epic-fury-and-remnants-irans-nuclear-program"> nuclear program remnants</a> may still survive. The <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/28/iran-strikes-israel-us-questions/">bar for success</a> is very high.</p><p></p><p>B. San Francisco&#8217;s <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/2026/02/what-do-the-people-building-ai-believe/686173/">AI subculture</a>. AI automation will <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/02/ai-technology-productivity-growth-job-loss">risk transfer the costs to workers and suppress wages</a>. The new payoff is meant to be <a href="https://hbr.org/2026/02/ais-big-payoff-is-coordination-not-automation?ab=HP-latest-text-4">more effective coordination / orchestration</a> (Palantir Technologies ontology territory).</p><p></p><p>C. JSOU&#8217;s <em><a href="https://jsou.edu/Press/PublicationDashboard/281">Special Operations Research Topics 2026</a></em> (Amazon Kindle <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/2026-Special-Operations-Research-Topics/dp/B0GPVXJTB2">version</a>).</p><p></p><p>D. X is a <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/x-is-drowning-in-disinformation-following-us-and-israels-attack-on-iran/">disinformation vector</a> on US/Israel-Iran and other geopolitics events. Meanwhile, the <a href="https://www.disinfo.com/">former Disinformation website</a> is still silent.</p><p></p><p>E. Werner Herzog&#8217;s <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/culture/werner-herzog-future-truth/">blend of fact and fiction</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21h-223-war-american-society-fall-2002/">War &amp; American Society</a>, created by <a href="https://history.mit.edu/people/christopher-capozzola/">Professor Christopher Capozzola</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. The United States is <a href="https://www.hudson.org/national-security-defense/china-preparing-war-australia-must-act-defend-its-sovereignty-john-lee">focusing on Australian sovereignty</a> in the Indo-Pacific to offshore balance China.</p><p></p><p>H. Dave Mullins has a new podcast <em><a href="https://pod.link/1877537008">Aftercult</a></em><a href="https://pod.link/1877537008"> </a>on <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2026/feb/28/cult-survivors-stories-aftercult-podcast-ntwnfb">former members of cults and new religious movements</a>. <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Understanding-Professor-Engineering-Emeritus-University/dp/0262526433/">Understanding Beliefs</a></em> by <a href="https://ai.stanford.edu/~nilsson/">Nils J. Nilsson</a> (Boston, MA: MIT Press, 2014) is very useful.</p><p></p><p>I. X comments on the Pete Hegseth / Department of War and Anthropic contract dispute: <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027641901076386014?s=20">income reliance</a>; <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027589945536483669?s=20">warfighter signalling</a> on how military strategy trumps corporate strategy; Anthropic&#8217;s misperception versus OpenAI&#8217;s victory in <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027587619882938503?s=20">strategic moves</a>; how Hedseth / DoW <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027585062699733504?s=20">countered</a> Anthropic&#8217;s technology / ethics concerns; why the name change from DoD to DoW is a <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027579939604795486?s=20">very important signal</a> (now confirmed by Operation Enduring Fury in Iran); business development <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027573313095274707?s=20">failure to understand</a> military / warfighting mindsets; on <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027539463610765480?s=20">supply chain coercion</a>; executive power use of <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027532447035101373?s=20">denial and economic sanctions</a>; and as a <a href="https://x.com/alexburns/status/2027528961434259601?s=20">negotiation / brinkmanship</a> case study.</p><p></p><p>J. The cultural politics in Japan of <a href="https://harpers.org/archive/2026/03/lords-of-the-ring-joshua-hunt-cultural-politics-sumo-wrestling">Sumo wrestling</a>.</p><p></p><p>K. PBS News special on <em>War With Iran</em>.</p><div id="youtube2-kfxWyGsBLek" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;kfxWyGsBLek&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/kfxWyGsBLek?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>L. Stan Druckenmiller offers investment lessons.</p><div id="youtube2-z_pk4eBDaLA" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;z_pk4eBDaLA&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/z_pk4eBDaLA?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>M. Option pricing explained.</p><div id="youtube2-u_eEW7N1xjE" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;u_eEW7N1xjE&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/u_eEW7N1xjE?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. The Oscar Peterson Trio in Tokyo in 1964.</p><div id="youtube2-_mxcUlw5fRk" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;_mxcUlw5fRk&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/_mxcUlw5fRk?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Psychological Winners]]></title><description><![CDATA[Different strategies that varied strategic actors use to win today - and what this all might mean.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/psychological-winners</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/psychological-winners</guid><pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2026 03:25:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-h9m!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57998a43-15e2-449d-b68d-4f6333273bac_256x256.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. The United States, China, and <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/redrawing-global-boundaries-the-united-states-china-and-the-viability-of-spheres-of-influence-in-the-21st-century/">geopolitical spheres of influence</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. The Russia-Ukraine War in <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/russia-ukraine-war-10-charts">10 charts</a>. And: <a href="https://www.firstpost.com/world/four-years-later-how-close-is-russian-president-putin-to-achieving-his-goals-in-ukraine-13983473.html">four years later</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. An upcoming <a href="https://quincyinst.org/events/the-trump-doctrine-a-conversation-with-asli-u-bali-and-aziz-rana/">Quincy Institute webinar</a> on the Trump doctrine.</p><p></p><p>D. You are likely not the <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/207066/trump-state-union-winners-epstein-ice-corrupt-impunity">winners in Trump&#8217;s America</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Prediction markets and <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/02/kalshi-aliens-insider-trading/686144/">inside bets on aliens</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Palantir moves to Florida to <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/02/palantir-florida-noncompetes-labor-law">use noncompete employment contracts</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. The dilemmas of <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/dilemmas-german-defence">German defence</a>.</p><p></p><p>H. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is an <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21g-064-intro-to-japanese-culture-spring-2012/">Introduction to Japanese Culture</a>, created by <a href="https://anthropology.mit.edu/people/faculty/ian-condry">Professor Ian Condry</a>.</p><p></p><p>I. Free lectures on <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@ComputationsInFinance">financial engineering and computational finance</a>.</p><p></p><p>J. The MIT OCW <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2fbrl6WoIyo&amp;list=PL44ABC9278E2EE706">free lectures</a> for <em>Introduction to Psychology</em> (2011).</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[From Black Monday to the Trump Tariffs]]></title><description><![CDATA[Some resources on catalyst events unfolding (and in the past that have long memories) in global financial markets.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/from-black-monday-to-the-trump-tariffs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/from-black-monday-to-the-trump-tariffs</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2026 11:44:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/M2OTVoxpetU" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. US-Iran tensions are <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/feb/24/oil-prices-rise-us-iran-talks">fueling an oil price rise</a> and <a href="https://newrepublic.com/post/206944/donald-trump-war-iran-still-option">possible war fears</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Australia&#8217;s wealth inequality and <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-23/reducing-inequality-means-taxing-capital-more/106369480">tax holes</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. What&#8217;s driving the push for <a href="https://www.thenation.com/podcast/archive/twsu-022026/">humanoid robots?</a> Perhaps Fritz Lang&#8217;s <em>Metropolis</em> (1927) in its <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_q25QpZXfoU">restored</a> and <a href="http://JgKDeTzrNqM">colourised</a> versions.</p><p></p><p>D. <em>The New Yorker</em>&#8217;s Joshua Rothman frames the Jeffrey Epstein case as being part of &#8216;<a href="https://www.newyorker.com/culture/open-questions/are-we-living-in-the-age-of-epstein">the last conspiracy</a>.&#8217; Actually, many of the elements formatively emerged in the 1970s; were part of the Satanic Panic in the 1980s and early 1990s; and were part of the 1998-2008 conspiracy theory subculture that I encountered when working as an offshore contractor for the former Disinformation website / company based in New York City. It&#8217;s maybe only new to high-brow, upper middle class <em>New Yorker</em> readers.</p><p></p><p>E. <em>The Atlantic</em>&#8217;s Tom Nichols observes that the GOP Republicans are <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/04/republican-party-nazi-problem/686055/">now getting their memes and slogans</a> from a rather malignant historical source.</p><p></p><p>F. Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs has <a href="https://www.vanityfair.com/culture/story/goldman-sachs-lloyd-blankfein">written an &#8220;origin story&#8221;</a> memoir. It&#8217;s called <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Streetwise-Lessons-Life-Goldman-Sachs/dp/1398725498/">Streetwise</a></em> and it&#8217;s out on 3rd March 2026. That gives you time to read <a href="https://williamcohan.com/about/">William D. Cohan</a>&#8217;s well received <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Money-Power-Goldman-Sachs-World-ebook/dp/B004Y4VCIC/">Money &amp; Power: How Goldman Sachs Came To Rule The World</a></em> (New York: Penguin, 2011) first. Cohan has very kindly signal boosted my X posts: thank you.</p><p></p><p>G. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21l-015-introduction-to-media-studies-fall-2003/">Introduction to Media Studies</a>, created by <a href="https://cmsw.mit.edu/profile/andrea-walsh/">Dr Andrea Walsh</a>.</p><p></p><p>H. The <em>Omaha</em> film trailer scares me.</p><div id="youtube2-M2OTVoxpetU" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;M2OTVoxpetU&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/M2OTVoxpetU?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>I. Frank Zappa live in Berlin, West Germany in 1968.</p><div id="youtube2-YahVqPlyeXw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;YahVqPlyeXw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/YahVqPlyeXw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>J. A classical musician listens for the first time to King Crimson&#8217;s song Fracture (1974).</p><div id="youtube2-wI_jrAANjmg" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;wI_jrAANjmg&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/wI_jrAANjmg?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>K. An original news report about Black Monday - the 1987 financial crash on Wall Street. The best history is veteran financial journalist <a href="https://dianahenriques.com/bio/">Diana B. Henriques</a>&#8217; <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/First-Class-Catastrophe-Monday-Street-History-ebook/dp/B06XBY5W2P/">A First-Class Catastrophe: The Road to Black Monday, the Worst Day in Wall Street History</a></em> (New York: Henry Holt &amp; Co., 2017).</p><div id="youtube2-0_8YEglCFdU" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;0_8YEglCFdU&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/0_8YEglCFdU?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>L. An MIT OCW free lecture called <em>Seven Questions About Tariffs That Everyone Should Know the Answer To</em>.</p><div id="youtube2-N2zN4x5aEos" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;N2zN4x5aEos&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/N2zN4x5aEos?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Green Capitalism Frontiers]]></title><description><![CDATA[Why lithium and other critical minerals / rare earths / energy supplies are critical for geoeconomics & geopolitics.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/green-capitalism-frontiers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/green-capitalism-frontiers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2026 11:59:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/92WaNz9mPeY" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. The <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/03/02/the-haunting-talent-of-noah-davis">haunting talent</a> of artist Noah Davis.</p><p></p><p>B. I knew there was a reason I have <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/health/2026/02/are-protein-bars-candy/686099/">stopped eating protein bars</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. The <a href="https://www.thenation.com/?post_type=article&amp;p=587678">scramble for lithium</a> (Thea Riofranco&#8217;s new book <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Extraction-Frontiers-Capitalism-Thea-Riofrancos-ebook/dp/B0FJYCZT6B/">Extraction</a></em>).</p><p></p><p>D. Will AI disrupt human labour and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/feb/23/ai-how-will-we-be-fed">create future food wars?</a></p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21l-715-media-in-cultural-context-spring-2007/">Media in Cultural Context</a>, created by Dr Joshua Green.</p><p></p><p>F. Value at Risk (VAR) models in finance.</p><div id="youtube2-92WaNz9mPeY" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;92WaNz9mPeY&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/92WaNz9mPeY?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>G. Stewardship of finance: the financial world and its regulators.</p><div id="youtube2-1AWfaSBa7WQ" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;1AWfaSBa7WQ&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/1AWfaSBa7WQ?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>H. Stewardship of finance: risk and insurance.</p><div id="youtube2-tfkft7FawhU" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;tfkft7FawhU&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:&quot;3003s&quot;,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/tfkft7FawhU?start=3003s&amp;rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>I. Stewardship of finance: speculation and liquidity.</p><div id="youtube2-CiKBaT5e2BI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;CiKBaT5e2BI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/CiKBaT5e2BI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Nazgul Can Remember It For You, Wholesale]]></title><description><![CDATA[What the now viral Wolfdog can teach us all.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/nazgul-can-remember-it-for-you-wholesale</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/nazgul-can-remember-it-for-you-wholesale</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2026 10:37:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/Qxq1bMy4XVg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Bloomberg on the <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2026-02-17/the-making-of-a-chinese-spy-video?srnd=homepage-asia">making of a Chinese spy</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Pedagogical Grammar insights: Stephen Fry on <a href="https://youtu.be/Ovi7uQbtKas">grammar Nazis</a>; then Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd&#8217;s <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xiLnsFyAVqE">National Apology to the Stolen Generations</a>; and then President-Elect Barack Obama&#8217;s <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bi8rBiAZkU">acceptance/victory speech</a> on 4th November 2008.</p><p></p><p>C. PBS documentaries <a href="https://www.pbs.org/video/sun-ra-do-the-impossible-pvumkf/">Sun Ra: Do The Impossible</a>; <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pp8mh8iZTe4">Bombshell</a> on the fallout from the United States bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II; and PBS <em>Frontline </em>on the <a href="https://www.pbs.org/video/crisis-in-venezuela-num4eb/">recent Venezuela crisis</a>. VPN subscription may be needed for viewing from some countries.</p><p></p><p>D. How the Cold War&#8217;s end <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/206289/end-cold-war-saved-siberian-tiger">saved the Siberian tiger</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21w-759-writing-science-fiction-spring-2016/">Writing Science Fiction</a>, created by <a href="https://cmsw.mit.edu/profile/shariann-lewitt/">Shariann Lewitt</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Nazgul the Wolfdog who crashed the Winter Olympics deserves a medal and to be in the closing ceremony. He teaches us to embrace antifragility and to be &#8216;risk on&#8217; when excellent risk-reward outcomes exist. Or the opportunity for cute viral internet videos.</p><div id="youtube2-Qxq1bMy4XVg" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;Qxq1bMy4XVg&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/Qxq1bMy4XVg?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Iran, Again]]></title><description><![CDATA[Returning to an on-going strategic puzzle that I co-wrote about in 2009 that continues to persist today.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/iran-again</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/iran-again</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 08:11:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/zdM4tdLQBg0" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. On the <a href="https://slate.com/podcasts/slate-money/2026/02/illegal-business-economics-criminal-black-markets-crime-hidden">underground economy</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Andrew Leigh MP who has written about existential risk <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/conversations/andrew-leigh-on-his-book-the-shortest-history-of-innovation/106345742">talks about innovation</a> in order to &#8220;<a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Shortest-History-Innovation-Andrew-Leigh-ebook/dp/B0FL1M7VF6/">talk his book</a>.&#8221;</p><p></p><p>C. The Thaler-Sunstein behavioural economics <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Nudge-Improving-Decisions-Health-Happiness-ebook/dp/B009KERBQI/">&#8220;nudge&#8221; framework</a> is <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/books/2026/02/new-book-debunks-nudge-policies/686044/">now being disputed</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. Gifted &amp; Talented education programs in New York City are <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/new-york-citys-gifted-problem">under fire</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. How Project 2025 is <a href="https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/02/project-2025-donald-trump-dei-chirstian-nationalism/">reshaping the United States</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Iran is <a href="https://reason.com/2026/02/19/iran-is-trying-to-silence-dissent-western-media-are-breaking-through-anyway/">silencing dissent</a>. I <a href="https://vuir.vu.edu.au/15230/">co-wrote a conference paper</a> on this in 2009. Direct Broadcast Satellite use was also noted in the <a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21410192-from-psyop-to-mindwar-the-psychology-of-victory/">Vallely / Aquino </a><em><a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21410192-from-psyop-to-mindwar-the-psychology-of-victory/">MindWar</a></em><a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21410192-from-psyop-to-mindwar-the-psychology-of-victory/"> paper (1980)</a> which later circulated in conspiracy theory circles due to William Milton Cooper, Fritz Springmeier (whose <em>Bloodlines of the Illuminati</em> was found during Operation Neptune Spear on 1st May 2011 in Osama bin Laden&#8217;s compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, amongst <a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/abbottabad-compound/index.html">OBL&#8217;s bookshelf reading</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/24-900-introduction-to-linguistics-fall-2012/">Introduction to Linguistics</a>, created by P<a href="https://linguistics.mit.edu/user/pesetsk/">rofessor David Pesetsky</a>.</p><p></p><p>H. An <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sqk6raiBQgA&amp;t=969s">unofficial audiobook</a> of <a href="https://gsof.org/william-mcraven-bio/">William McRaven</a>&#8217;s <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Spec-Ops-Studies-Operations-Practice-ebook/dp/B0024NP5FG/">Spec Ops: Studies in Special Operations Warfare (Theory &amp; Practice)</a></em> (San Francisco: Presidio Press, 2009) an influential SOF theory of attritionist-driven Direct Action. Do <a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Make-Your-Bed-things-change-ebook/dp/B0714M8P9Y/">make your bed</a> (<a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Make-Your-Bed-Daily-Journal/dp/1538751771/">daily journal</a>).</p><p></p><p>I. A trailer for the upcoming film <em>Pressure</em> out on 29th May 2026 about the D-Day operation&#8217;s strategic planning and the Clausewitzean friction impacts of adverse weather on D-Day&#8217;s tactical operations / execution.</p><div id="youtube2-zdM4tdLQBg0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;zdM4tdLQBg0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/zdM4tdLQBg0?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Oil Disruption and Iran Strike Scenarios]]></title><description><![CDATA[Rumours in geopolitical circles and in prediction markets are signalling a possible US strike on Iran soon - which may just be an event-driven volatility trade.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/oil-disruption-and-iran-strike-scenarios</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/oil-disruption-and-iran-strike-scenarios</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2026 11:41:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/3xwE6hxLoso" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. A <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/prepared-not-paralyzed">pro-innovation approach</a> to artificial intelligence.</p><p></p><p>B. The <a href="https://harpers.org/archive/2026/03/the-plot-to-save-america-maddy-crowell-reindustrialization-weapons-manufacturing/">plot to save America</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. Anatomy of an <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/the-chaos-of-an-ice-detention">ICE detention</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. Iran&#8217;s <a href="https://reason.com/podcast/2026/02/18/can-irans-protest-movement-topple-the-regime/">protest movement and the regime</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. <a href="https://quincyinst.org/research/beyond-strategic-ambiguity-supporting-taiwan-without-a-commitment-to-war/">Beyond strategic ambiguity</a> on Taiwan.</p><p></p><p>F. <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/if-trump-strikes-iran-mapping-oil-disruption-scenarios">Oil disruption scenarios</a> for a second Trump administration strike on Iran.</p><p></p><p>G. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/14-44-energy-economics-spring-2007/">Energy Economics</a>, created by <a href="https://economics.mit.edu/people/faculty/paul-l-joskow">Professor Paul Joskow</a> (Google Scholar <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=8mQJTxIAAAAJ&amp;hl=en">profile</a>).</p><p></p><p>H. Nirvana live in 1989.</p><div id="youtube2-3xwE6hxLoso" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;3xwE6hxLoso&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/3xwE6hxLoso?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>I. The infamous scene from Francis Ford Coppola&#8217;s <em>Apocalypse Now: The Final Cut</em> (1979, 2019) featuring the late Robert Duvall.</p><div id="youtube2-cdebiPyuQfc" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;cdebiPyuQfc&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/cdebiPyuQfc?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p> </p><p>J. Miles Davis with John Coltrane live in 1960.</p><div id="youtube2-8VE_dP90V84" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;8VE_dP90V84&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/8VE_dP90V84?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>K. Inside the risky world of high-frequency trading.</p><div id="youtube2-KEpX8rCCFP0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;KEpX8rCCFP0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/KEpX8rCCFP0?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>L. On the legendary film <em>Killer of Sheep</em> (1977) now playing on the Criterion Channel.</p><div id="youtube2-GJvnwkRLK7s" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;GJvnwkRLK7s&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/GJvnwkRLK7s?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>M. Beijing&#8217;s <a href="https://dangerousminds.net/comments/the-secret-underground-city-beneath-beijing/">underground city</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[On Neo-Royalism]]></title><description><![CDATA[The emerging multipolar, postliberal world has a default meso-level mode: clientelist patronage loyalty.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/on-neo-royalism</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/on-neo-royalism</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2026 11:51:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/i9lKz8fnmq4" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Recent talks at the Hudson Institute on <a href="https://www.hudson.org/events/assistant-secretary-war-michael-cadenazzi-rebooting-americas-defense-industrial-base">Rebooting America&#8217;s Defense Industrial Base</a> and the <a href="https://www.hudson.org/events/assistant-secretary-state-christopher-yeaw-end-new-start-treaty">New START Treaty&#8217;s end</a> on nuclear proliferation governance.</p><p></p><p>B. <a href="https://thevoroscope.com/bio/">Joseph Voros</a> has kindly made me aware of a new article on <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-organization/article/further-back-to-the-future-neoroyalism-the-trump-administration-and-the-emerging-international-system/ABB12906CA345BBCA5049B544363D391">neo-royalism</a>: a clientelist, patronage system emerging at the meso-level of the emerging postliberal and multipolar global order. I have cited article co-author <a href="https://gufaculty360.georgetown.edu/s/contact/00336000014RcmSAAS/abraham-l-newman">Abraham Newman</a> (<a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=yi9mpTcAAAAJ&amp;hl=en">Google Scholar</a>) in two unsuccessful Postdoc proposals for the University of Melbourne&#8217;s McKenzie Postdoctoral Fellowship Grant Scheme that <a href="https://findanexpert.unimelb.edu.au/profile/382141-timothy-lynch">Timothy Lynch</a> kindly supported. I could not get research funding; the proposed research was never conducted; and the debates and emerging global order dynamics have all moved on. I continue to note some brief aspects in this blog.</p><p></p><p>C. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/9-14-brain-structure-and-its-origins-spring-2014/">Brain Structure and Its Origins</a>, created by - and now a legacy of - the late <a href="https://news.mit.edu/2025/professor-emeritus-gerald-schneider-dies-0127">Professor Emeritus Gerald Schneider</a> (Google Scholar <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Yq3KEWUAAAAJ&amp;hl=en">profile</a>).</p><p></p><p>D. Australia is having a furore <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2026/feb/18/the-political-furore-over-islamic-state-families-full-story-podcast">over the attempted return</a> of Islamic State families.</p><p></p><p>E. Today in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2026/feb/18/australian-screen-industry-crushed-as-universal-shutters-matchbox-pictures-with-60-jobs-lost">why I never pursued a screenwriting career in Australia</a> (after reading in US scriptwriting books about their options market for unproduced scripts and looking at state-based preproduction funding schemes, I realised that the Australian market was probably too small and unprofitable).</p><p></p><p>F. Today, I learned that New Zealand film producer and developer <a href="https://www.odt.co.nz/regions/queenstown/filmmaker-and-developer-remembered">Grahame McLean</a> passed away in 2025. I last saw him at my late father&#8217;s funeral and wake in 2017, for whom McLean was an inspirational (entrepreneurial) mentor. My parents both met in Queenstown, likely at McLean&#8217;s restaurant Carroll&#8217;s. I saw McLean overseeing the audio soundtrack edits to <em>Worzel Gummidge</em> <em>Down Under</em> starring <em>Doctor Who</em> actor Jon Pertwee. McLean gave (now Dame) Fran Walsh her first gig. Dame Walsh and husband Sir Peter Jackson&#8217;s films are well worth seeing. <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VjwCDzYij1o">Here is an interview</a> with McLean.</p><p></p><p>G. On the baddest hedge fund in the United States.</p><div id="youtube2-i9lKz8fnmq4" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;i9lKz8fnmq4&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/i9lKz8fnmq4?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>H. Goldman Sachs on the new AI trades.</p><div id="youtube2-KhZfxZ-C-2g" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;KhZfxZ-C-2g&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/KhZfxZ-C-2g?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>I. Finnegan Fox has passed over the Rainbow Bridge (and is now with Mikayla Raines of Save A Fox), but you can still hear the Good News from him, hee hee hee.</p><div id="youtube2-VoFzjyVq_Qs" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;VoFzjyVq_Qs&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/VoFzjyVq_Qs?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>J. <a href="https://politicalscience.ecu.edu/about/faculty-staff/krishnan/">Dr Armin Krishnan</a> on dual use research and neuroscience.</p><div id="youtube2-KFOk2jqtm4M" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;KFOk2jqtm4M&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:&quot;1s&quot;,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/KFOk2jqtm4M?start=1s&amp;rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Victim of Your Own Success]]></title><description><![CDATA[Life has Clausewitzean frictions and overreach (behavioural economics): here are some examples to learn from, and to hopefully avoid (unforced errors).]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/a-victim-of-your-own-success</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/a-victim-of-your-own-success</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2026 10:32:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/cB9pK0qHSoA" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Crypto is a <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/02/crypto-crash-bitcoin-value/685994/">victim of its own success</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. How will <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/new-start-expired-now-what-global-nuclear-stability">global nuclear stability survive</a>?</p><p></p><p>C. A <a href="https://slate.com/podcasts/slate-money/2026/02/google-alphabet-century-bond-trumps-tariffs-impacting-us-citizens">century-long Google bet</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. How product-liability lawsuits <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/books/under-review/a-terrifying-scam-and-the-system-that-made-it-possible">get scammed</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/15-822-strategic-marketing-measurement-fall-2002/">Strategic Marketing Management</a>, created by <a href="https://mitsloan.mit.edu/faculty/directory/drazen-prelec">Professor Drazen Prelec</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. Why did Obama <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2026/feb/17/why-did-obama-say-aliens-are-real-full-story-podcast">say that aliens are real?</a></p><p></p><p>G. Exploring London as <a href="https://harpers.org/archive/2026/02/another-london-situationists-hari-kunzru/">the disenchanted city</a> (megapolisomancy).</p><p></p><p>H. How <a href="https://insidestory.org.au/a-learning-experience">teacher education in Australia</a> has failed. Plus: are United States schools <a href="https://www.aei.org/events/are-schools-caught-in-a-digital-delusion-a-conversation-with-jared-cooney-horvath/">caught in a digital delusion</a>?</p><p></p><p>I. Why the United States <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/cnas-insights-why-the-united-states-needs-economic-coercion-doctrine">needs economic coercion doctrine</a>.</p><p></p><p>J. If you can&#8217;t measure it, <a href="https://manhattan.institute/article/if-you-cant-measure-it-can-you-improve-it">can you improve it?</a></p><p></p><p>K. Trump&#8217;s <a href="https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/02/america-freedom-task-force-250-trump-anniversary-history-smithsonian-kennedy-center/">war on history</a>.</p><p></p><p>L. Gary Stevenson on Australia&#8217;s housing market.</p><div id="youtube2-cB9pK0qHSoA" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;cB9pK0qHSoA&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/cB9pK0qHSoA?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>M. Open Access (and me) as a researcher.</p><div id="youtube2-W3iqNUKrIPI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;W3iqNUKrIPI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/W3iqNUKrIPI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>N. The <em><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5hbVh2nHhU&amp;list=PLam-yp5uUR1Y7sukGvL914Vlq1BUtZZ6U">Issues in National Security</a></em><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5hbVh2nHhU&amp;list=PLam-yp5uUR1Y7sukGvL914Vlq1BUtZZ6U"> lecture series</a> from the United States Naval War College. </p><p></p><p>O. The <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoeDv74SWdA&amp;list=RDOoeDv74SWdA&amp;start_radio=1">full Miami concert of Slayer</a> on the legendary tour Clash of the Titans in 1991.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[We're Not Ready For A Bunch of Things]]></title><description><![CDATA[In the 1993 timeline things are not going well for the Branch Davidians at Waco, TX; meanwhile in the 2026 timeline things are not going well either for others.]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/were-not-ready-for-a-bunch-of-things</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/were-not-ready-for-a-bunch-of-things</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2026 12:07:25 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/7-ZfRSSau3Q" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Russia&#8217;s Wagner Group is reportedly <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/dbd1d803-ab37-43f1-920f-fce74952313a">attempting to sabotage NATO in Europe</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. Families of Islamic State fighters are <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-16/australian-families-with-isis-links-leave-camp-in-syria/106351298">attempting to return to Australia from Syria</a> - and are facing difficulties in doing so.</p><p></p><p>C. The second Trump administration&#8217;s <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trumps-board-of-peace-and-the-multilateral-order/">Board of Peace and multilateralism</a>.</p><p></p><p>D. Why AI chatbots <a href="https://www.cato.org/blog/no-we-shouldnt-ban-ai-chatbots">should not be banned</a>.</p><p></p><p>E. What the War on Gaza <a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2026/02/how-israels-war-in-gaza-partially-rehabilitated-counterinsurgency.html">can teach us about counterinsurgency</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. America <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/cnas-insights-america-isnt-ready-for-a-drone-war">isn&#8217;t ready for a drone war</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. A <a href="https://quincyinst.org/research/the-2025-nss-and-restraint-experts-react/">restraint informed perspective</a> on the second Trump administration&#8217;s <em><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf">National Security Strategy</a></em> (2025).</p><p></p><p>H. The <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/02/16/industry-tv-review-hbo">youth wasteland</a> of <a href="https://play.hbomax.com/show/9e51c88c-7a28-40ee-8269-e16572e02a07">HBO&#8217;s hit series </a><em><a href="https://play.hbomax.com/show/9e51c88c-7a28-40ee-8269-e16572e02a07">Industry</a></em>.</p><p></p><p>I. The infamous trilogy of documentaries on the Branch Davidians at Waco, Texas in 1993.</p><p></p><p><em>Waco: The Rules of Engagement</em> (1997) - full length version.</p><div id="youtube2-7-ZfRSSau3Q" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;7-ZfRSSau3Q&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/7-ZfRSSau3Q?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p><em>Waco: A New Revelation</em> (1999).</p><div id="youtube2-Ttv5mD7gsaw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;Ttv5mD7gsaw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/Ttv5mD7gsaw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p>Waco: <em>The FLIR Project</em> (2001).</p><div id="youtube2-I5qPC9wXEew" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;I5qPC9wXEew&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/I5qPC9wXEew?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The New Wuthering Heights Film Will Be Popular]]></title><description><![CDATA[When life gets volatile, (idealised, romantic) emotional catharsis may help (or maybe not).]]></description><link>https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-new-wuthering-heights-film-will</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.alexburns.net/p/the-new-wuthering-heights-film-will</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Burns]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2026 04:57:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/fxQG4ZRo69U" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. Northern Territory films are <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-15/nt-film-industry-on-national-stage-at-aacta-awards-movies/106345258">showcasing Australia to the world</a>.</p><p></p><p>B. The <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/society/peter-thiel-jeffrey-epstein-democracy/">Thiel-Epstein connection</a>.</p><p></p><p>C. The new <em>Wuthering Heights</em> film is either <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/206337/emerald-fennell-wuthering-heights-fan-fiction">fan fiction</a> or a <a href="https://reason.com/2026/02/13/wuthering-heights-is-a-kinky-revisionist-fever-dream/">kinky, revisionist, fever dream</a>: how to grab attention via headline writing.</p><p></p><p>D. Russia likely killed Alexei Navalny with <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/14/alexei-navalny-poisoning-death-russia-frog-toxin">frog toxin</a> (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/science/2026/feb/14/what-is-dart-frog-toxin-said-to-have-been-used-to-kill-alexei-navalny">what it is</a>). There is a <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-05-04/gerogi-markov-bulgarian-dissident-umbrella-assassination/100084600">history</a> to this, documented in recent books like <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Death-Order-History-Modern-Assassination/dp/0300258046/">Death to Order</a> </em>and <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com.au/Rise-Kill-First-Targeted-Assassinations/dp/1473694744">Rise and Kill First</a></em>.</p><p></p><p>E. Today&#8217;s MIT OCW free course is on the <a href="https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/21w-777-the-science-essay-spring-2009/">Science Essay</a>.</p><p></p><p>F. It&#8217;s OK to <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/magazine/changing-your-phone-number.html">change your phone number</a>.</p><p></p><p>G. On geopolitical risk.</p><div id="youtube2-fxQG4ZRo69U" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;fxQG4ZRo69U&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/fxQG4ZRo69U?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>H. A collection of strategic studies lectures by <a href="https://www.concordia.ca/faculty/julian-schofield.html">Associate Professor Julian Spencer-Churchill</a> on nuclear strategy.</p><div id="youtube2-LEjB5UrOqwU" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;LEjB5UrOqwU&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/LEjB5UrOqwU?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>