This week I did some research program planning on hedge funds as strategic subcultures. Some recent material:
1. AQR Capital Management focuses on the momentum anomaly as an investment strategy (PDF).
2. The investor information for Goldman Sachs Asset Management LP contains some useful information (PDF).
3. AQR’s Cliff Asness and index fund pioneer Jack Bogle have a great discussion on active / passive management and pension fund investing.
4. BlackRock’s guide to Absolute Return investment strategies (PDF).
5. Nassim Nicholas Taleb talks with James Altucher about anti-fragility and uncertainty.
6. Slate’s John Swansburg dissects the American myth of the self-made man.
7. Wagner Award 2014 submissions to the National Association of Active Index Managers.
8. Trend-follower Michael Covel asks: Does momentum investing work?
9. Patrick O’Shaughnessy on two ways to improve the momentum strategy.
The International Studies Association is holding its Annual Convention for 2014 in Toronto, Canada.
Below is one proposal I have submitted for consideration by the International Political Economy and International Security sections:
Geopolitical Flashpoints, Systemic Risk & Distal-Influenced Spatiality
Abstract: Geopolitical flashpoints and systemic risk are now global arbitrage opportunities for hedge funds and political risk firms. Bridgewater (Ray Dalio), AQR Capital Management (Aaron C. Brown), PIMCO (Bill Gross & Mohamed El-Erian), Roubini Global Economics (Nouriel Roubini), and Stratfor (George Friedman & Robert D. Kaplan) have each contributed to media, policy, and practitioner debates about the 2008-10 rare earths bubble, the United States pivot toward Asia, and Iran-Syria-Russia oil speculation. This paper uses develops a Bayesian inference framework which emphasizes distal (far away) and spatial cause-effect relationships, in order to explain how hedge funds and political risk firms as non-state actors can enact global arbitrage and actively influence/shape public debates. I integrate analytical research from the sociology of finance (Donald MacKenzie), international security (Stephen G. Brooks), critical world security (Michael T. Klare & Naomi Klein), intelligence studies (Amy B. Zegart, Robert Jervis, & Gregory Treverton), hedge funds (Andrew Busch & Andrew Lo), and fictional speculation (Richard K. Morgan), to develop a new, inductive theory-building alternative to current explanations that emphasize proximate (near) and temporal causes. This paper advances new understanding about ‘casino capitalism’ (Susan Strange), expert networks, hedge fund activism, and political risk arbitrage.